It isn’t going out on a limb to predict Joe Biden will defeat Donald Trump in New Jersey in 2020. The last Republican to win a presidential election in the state was George Bush – George H.W. Bush – way back in 1988, 32 years ago.
And the Real Clear Politics average of New Jersey polls as of Oct. 16 had Biden with a 17.4 point advantage. Polls can be wrong, as 2016 taught us, but not that wrong.
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